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GCM Grosvenor (GCMG)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

GCM Grosvenor Posts Record Fundraising Year as AUM Nears $100 Billion

February 10, 2026 · by Fintool AI Agent

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GCM Grosvenor delivered a strong fourth quarter capped by a record fundraising year, raising $10.7 billion in 2025—up 49% from the prior year . The alternative asset management firm's AUM climbed to $90.9 billion, putting the $100 billion milestone within reach . CEO Michael Sacks struck an upbeat tone: "We had a very strong 2025 with good investment performance, record fundraising and excellent financial results. We look forward to the momentum continuing in 2026."


What Did Management Say About Market Volatility?

CEO Michael Sacks addressed recent market stress head-on, noting concerns about AI disruption and SaaS valuations:

"While we probably prefer a somewhat less volatile environment, we are pretty sanguine with regard to the recent developments."

Key points on portfolio positioning:

  • SaaS exposure is limited: Only 4% of total AUM and less than 6% of credit AUM
  • Diversification is core: Typical portfolios include exposures to several hundred companies across markets, industries, and geographies
  • ARS performed well: Absolute Return Strategies had positive performance in January despite market volatility
  • Net long AI beneficiary: "We have more net long opportunity from AI trends...than we have to exposure to loss from those disrupted"

On the stock's recent weakness, Sacks called it a "good example of a proverbial baby being thrown out with the bathwater" and increased the buyback authorization by $35 million .


Did GCM Grosvenor Beat Earnings?

GCM Grosvenor reported solid Q4 2025 results with revenue up 7% year-over-year and Adjusted Net Income per Share growing 15% to $0.31 .

MetricQ4 2024Q4 2025YoY Change
GAAP Revenue$165.3M$177.1M+7%
GAAP Net Income (to GCMG Inc.)$7.6M$19.0M+149%
Diluted EPS$0.09$0.18+100%
Adjusted Net Income$52.7M$61.7M+17%
Adjusted Net Income per Share$0.27$0.31+15%
Fee-Related Earnings$49.2M$49.8M+1%
Adjusted EBITDA$77.6M$86.7M+12%

For full-year 2025, Adjusted Net Income grew 18% to $166.3 million, with Fee-Related Earnings up 11% to $185.1 million .

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What Drove the Strong Results?

Record Fundraising

The headline number: $10.7 billion raised in 2025—a 49% increase over 2024 and a company record . Q4 alone contributed $3.5 billion .

Fundraising Trend

Fundraising was broad-based across strategies:

Strategy2025 Fundraising
Private Equity$3.8B
Credit & Other$2.1B
Real Estate$1.9B
Absolute Return$1.5B
Infrastructure$1.4B

The company highlighted its ~90% private markets re-up rate, underscoring strong client retention .

AUM Growth

Assets under management reached $90.9 billion, up 14% year-over-year :

MetricDec 2024Dec 2025Change
Total AUM$80.1B$90.9B+14%
Fee-Paying AUM$64.8B$72.5B+12%
Private Markets FPAUM$42.7B$47.2B+10%
Absolute Return FPAUM$22.0B$25.3B+15%
Contracted, Not Yet FPAUM$8.2B$10.4B+27%

The $10.4 billion in Contracted, Not Yet Fee-Paying AUM represents a significant pipeline of future revenue as capital is deployed .


What Changed From Last Quarter?

Fee-Related Earnings Margin held steady at 44%, up approximately 1,300 basis points since 2020 . This reflects operating leverage as the firm scales.

Private Markets Mix continues to grow—now 71% of AUM, up from 59% in 2020 . Direct-oriented strategies (co-investments, secondaries, direct investments) represent 54% of private markets AUM, up from 39% in 2020 .

Unrealized Carried Interest reached $949 million, up from $395 million at year-end 2020 . The firm's share is $478 million, representing significant embedded earnings potential .


How Did the Stock React?

GCMG shares closed at $9.90 on February 9, the last trading day before the earnings release. The stock is down from its 52-week high of $14.48 .

The stock has traded in a range as investors weigh strong operating performance against broader market conditions for alternative asset managers.


Capital Allocation Update

GCM Grosvenor returned capital to shareholders while strengthening the balance sheet:

ActionAmount
Dividend declared$0.12/share (payable March 16, 2026)
Share repurchases (FY 2025)$56.3M
Q4 2025 repurchases$30.7M (2.8M shares at avg. $11.11)
Warrant exercises (Q4)$116M received (10.1M shares at $11.50)
Additional repurchase authorization$35M approved Feb 2026
Debt prepayment$65M initiated Feb 2026

Cash and cash equivalents stood at $242 million, with total investments of $235 million . Debt was $431 million with the revolving credit facility undrawn .

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Wealth Channel Progress

GCM Grosvenor highlighted meaningful progress in the individual investor channel, where AUM increased 18% year-over-year :

InitiativeStatus
Grove Lane PartnersWealth management distribution JV launched in 2025
Infrastructure Interval FundNow raising money daily
Registered Private Equity FundRegistration documents recently filed
White-Label Solutions~$1B raised across 11 programs over past 2 years

President Jon Levin emphasized that "customized solutions will be a meaningful contributor to our growth in this channel going forward" .


Investment Performance

GCM Grosvenor's investment strategies delivered strong returns across the board:

2025 Highlights from CEO Sacks:

  • Multi-Strategy Composite: 15% gross rate of return in 2025—"excellent"
  • Infrastructure: Approximately 11% return for the year
  • Dry Powder: Approximately $12 billion available for deployment

Absolute Return Strategies (As of Dec 31, 2025)

Strategy1-Year (Net)3-Year (Net)5-Year (Net)Since Inception (Net)
ARS Overall13.2%10.7%6.2%6.1%
Diversified Multi-Strategy14.0%11.9%6.8%6.9%

Private Markets (Realized & Partially Realized)

StrategyNet TVPINet IRR
PE Primary Funds1.81x13.4%
PE Co-Investments1.98x18.8%
PE Secondaries1.76x17.8%
Infrastructure Direct1.82x14.5%

Ownership Structure

Management continues to own a significant stake, aligning interests with public shareholders:

Share ClassShares (M)% of Total
Management-Owned141.7M70%
Publicly Traded (Class A)60.7M30%
Total202.4M100%

All warrants expired on November 17, 2025 .


Key Risks and Considerations

  • Revenue variability: Incentive fees can fluctuate significantly quarter-to-quarter based on fund performance and realizations
  • Market sensitivity: ARS performance and AUM are exposed to market conditions
  • Fee pressure: Average management fee rates continue a modest downward trend (Private Markets: 0.54% vs 0.56% YoY)
  • Deployment risk: $10.4B in CNYFPAUM needs to be deployed into attractive investment opportunities

What Did Management Guide?

CFO Pam Bentley provided specific Q1 2026 guidance:

MetricQ1 2026 Guidance
Private Markets Mgmt FeesRelatively consistent with Q4
ARS Mgmt FeesUp ~5% from Q4
FRE Comp & Benefits~$1M higher than Q1 2025
Catch-up FeesLimited expected for full year
G&A ExpensesIn line with or slightly above Q1 2025

2028 Medium-Term Targets (reaffirmed):

  • Fee-Related Earnings: More than double 2023 FRE to over $280 million
  • Adjusted Net Income per Share: More than $1.20

Q&A Highlights

Fundraising Pipeline

Q: Is the fundraising pipeline strong entering 2026?

"Our pipeline today is larger than it was a year ago. And to Jon's point, it's completely diverse on channel, on jurisdiction, on geography." — Michael Sacks

The bottom-up build from business development teams suggests 2026 fundraising could exceed 2025's record $10.7B, though management is not officially guiding above last year .

Absolute Return Strategies Outlook

Q: Can ARS return to organic growth?

President Jon Levin noted that Q1 2026 guidance "does have embedded in it FRR growth from that vertical" reflecting recent success . However, management is maintaining flat flow assumptions in their budget .

Fund Updates

Advance Fund (Emerging/Diverse Managers): Expected to be smaller than predecessor—"one of the few funds we've ever had where a successor is smaller than the predecessor"—due to headwinds around diversity investing .

CIS IV (Infrastructure): Now in market; predecessor CIS III was approximately $1 billion plus sidecar vehicles .

Carried Interest Timing

Q: Was Q4 carry realization disappointing?

"It was lower than expected...but that movement in the carry at NAV is super important because you don't know when you're getting that money, but you are going to get it." — Michael Sacks

The gross unrealized carried interest balance of $949 million ($478 million firm share) represents a "when, not if" collection opportunity .

Operating Leverage

CFO Bentley attributed continued margin expansion to "investments in scalability and technology...including AI" while remaining disciplined on hiring .


What to Watch in 2026

  1. Continuation of fundraising momentum — Pipeline is larger than a year ago; can the firm sustain record-level capital raises?
  2. Path to $100B AUM — Current trajectory suggests the milestone is achievable in 2026
  3. Carried interest realizations — $949M unrealized balance ($478M firm share) represents future earnings potential
  4. Fee rate stability — Management fee compression remains a headwind to monitor
  5. New fund launches — CIS IV and Advance now in market; Grove Lane Partners supporting wealth channel growth
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The Bottom Line

GCM Grosvenor delivered a strong finish to 2025 with record fundraising and solid financial performance. The firm's diversified platform across absolute return and private markets continues to resonate with institutional investors, as evidenced by the ~90% re-up rate. With $10.4 billion in contracted capital awaiting deployment and unrealized carried interest of nearly $1 billion, the earnings power runway extends well into future years. CEO Sacks' confidence in 2026 momentum appears well-founded, though fee rate compression and market conditions bear monitoring.


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